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By John D Winkler

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Finally, estimates of eventual savings are based on DL conversions that have not taken place and will not occur until the Army has worked through its conversion schedule. The Army will find it fruitful to undertake a more detailed study of the costs associated with institutional training, including some of the factors used here, but also extending to school resources: instructors, support, training materials, courseware development and maintenance, and longer-term facilities and other capital costs.

Our previous DL research has found these costs—even when considering only the portions of them associated with DL—to be considerable. ______________ 2 See, for example, Keene and Cary (1992) and Orlansky and String (1979, 1981). Conclusions and Policy Implications 39 Finally, we note that the tasking to achieve the full potential of DL as part of the Army’s ongoing transformation—either to reduce personnel shortages or to improve stability (“determine means to attain and maintain required levels of personnel fill and stabilization throughout [the] transformation”)—belongs to the DCSPER.

Turbulence is a stubborn problem. First, achieving zero turbulence is inherently undesirable, since an Army with near-zero turbulence is a stagnant one with limited upward or lateral mobility and few opportunities for broadening or advancement. Second, many measures that might reduce turbulence to “better” levels would be distasteful or undesirable in other ways. , the judicious substitution of DL segments for some residential training—provide an option for enhancing stability without undesirable policy or structural changes.

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